Cascading impact chain
Stage narrative is a synthetic demonstration. The probabilities below are computed by the dependency-graph engine (danube-graph-1.0.0) and are uncalibrated — expert-prior parameters, no hindcast evidence.
p10–p90 0.31–0.51 · uncalibrated
↓ influences
p10–p90 0.00–0.00 · uncalibrated
↓ constrains
p10–p90 0.14–0.23 · uncalibrated
↓ affects
p10–p90 0.00–0.00 · uncalibrated
↓ disrupts
p10–p90 0.00–0.00 · uncalibrated
↓ increases pressure on
p10–p90 0.00–0.00 · uncalibrated